A Case Study On: Historical Bond Yields


Sometime a picture can relay information more clearly than a long-winded description.

This chart called “Ten-year US Treasuries: the end of the long decline in yields?” came to us from the Financial Times of London. Avenue’s conclusion is ten-year US rates can easily trade in the 3-4% range and not cause too much disruption. A move to the 5-6% range would be disruptive, but a move of this magnitude would be enough to trigger a recession and therefore an adjustment to lower interest rates.

This time line of ten-year US Treasury yields is a great way to visually measure the magnitude of today’s concerns of rising interest rates.

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