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Q1 2020 Letter

We have lived through an extraordinary few weeks. Across the country Canadians are now bracing for the full impact of the virus. Hopefully all our collective efforts at social distancing will pay off. Currently, we don’t know of anyone within our Avenue network who is ill with the virus, and we truly hope it stays that way. We give our thanks to all of you who are on the frontlines in the medical and support professions as you work tirelessly to keep Canadians safe.

COVID-19 & The Markets

In Episode 6, Bryden Teich and Bill Harris discuss the impact that COVID-19 has had on the markets and the global economy through the first quarter of 2020.

Q1/ Frequently Asked Questions

We have been getting lots of questions about how our investments are faring in the face of this historic market decline. We have attempted to lay out our comments in a question and answer format.

Market Update #2

In Episode 5, Bill Harris and Matt Manara discuss the incredible events in the global stock markets for the second week of March 2020.

Preferred Shares, Buyers Beware

Preferred Shares, Buyers Beware   The preferred share market is really a retail phenomenon. RBC, TD, or any of the bigger banks have issued billions of dollars in these preferred…

Market Update

In Episode 4, Bryden Teich and Bill Harris discuss the events in the stock market for the last week of February 2020 and how Avenue has been positioned for this.

The Global Reach for Yield

In Episode 3, Matt Manara and Bryden Teich discuss the U.S. Federal deficit and how it is impacting the direction of monetary policy. They also discuss the reach-for-yield going on in corporate and high yield bond markets and discuss other risks they are seeing in the market.

A Wave of Central Bank Liquidity

In Episode 2, Bill Harris and Bryden Teich discuss how global stock markets are currently being impacted by central bank liquidity and relate that to previous periods of market exuberance. They also discuss the signal that the underlying economy is sending at the outset of 2020, and they discuss the outlook for the Canadian energy sector.

The 2020 Outlook for the Bond Market

Bryden Teich and Paul Gardner discuss Avenue’s outlook for interest rates and Federal Reserve policy as we enter 2020. The past year saw a significant change in policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve with three interest rate cuts and a significant re-expansion of their balance sheet starting in September. The conversation touches on the economic outlook for both the United States and Canada and the impact on interest rates and stock prices.

A Case Study On: The Degree of Confidence

The case study is where we discuss specific details of our investment process. Today we will tackle stock market multiples and how it relates to risk. I wish I could say we can also make it entertaining, but the subject matter probably precludes this.

Q4 2019 Letter

This past year was a year to celebrate Avenue’s unique equity strategy where the foundation of the portfolio is built on limiting the risks we take, instead of trying to ‘beat the stock market’ in any given year. For 16 years we have developed our brand and place in the Canadian investment industry where when you think of Avenue, you think of stability. Investment stability is achieved by diversification of the portfolio, the stability of the underlying investments, and rigorous attention to avoid owning securities that we believe are overvalued.

Portfolio Management Toronto

  Getting there together™ Mitigate risk and steadily help your portfolio grow At Avenue Investment Management, we focus on growing your portfolio through an active management strategy. We understand that…

Private Asset Management Toronto

  Getting there together™ A lifetime investment partner Preserve your long-term wealth through tailored financial asset management solutions with Avenue Investment Management. Our proven strategy of making ‘boring’ and ‘predictable’…

Private Wealth Management Toronto

  Getting there together™ We Fight For The Privilege of Managing Your Wealth Partner with Avenue Investment Management for tailored financial solutions. Our dedicated team of private wealth management experts…

A Case Study On: The Valuation of WeWork

Avenue’s stock market investment strategy is to find business that have consistent earnings and trade at a fair price. Technology is difficult to fit into these parameters because technology companies by nature have disruptive business models which don’t always result in consistent earnings. Our topic today is to show just how expensive and erratic many of these technology companies have become. We will examine the influence of Softbank’s Vision Fund and WeWork on tech venture investing.

Q3 2019 Letter

There are three distinct themes emerging that separate the world of investing and define our times.

Paul Gardner on BNN The Street – September 6, 2019

Paul Gardner co-hosted The Street on BNN with Paul Bagnell.

Bill Harris on BNN The Street – July 24, 2019

Bill Harris co-hosted The Street on BNN with Paul Bagnell.

Why Preferred Shares are not Bond Substitutes

With Canadian bond yields dropping below 2%, these are dark days to be a bond investor. Gone are the days when one could hope for 5-7 % annual returns from the bond market. With global central bank policy using quantitative measures to lower interest rates close to zero, the global $40 trillion-dollar bond market is searching for a “normal” return.

Q2 2019 Letter

We are now in record territory; a full decade of economic growth and stock market expansion has many investors fearful that we are overdue for a correction. In this quarter’s letter we make the case that the investments we hold in Avenue’s portfolios remain compelling, but at the same time we need to actively avoid certain stocks and sectors where there is excess valuation.

Q1 2019 Letter

We have experienced good performance in the last three months in both Avenue’s Equity Portfolio and Bond Portfolio. The key reason is an extraordinary reversal in interest rates.